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All The Democratic Delegates

By TJHalva | 1 point | February 29, 2016 at 10:51:10 PM CT 0 Comments

As a bit of an exercise in tedium, I've parsed each state's delegate selection plan to acquire the number of delegates in each allocation category. There are actually 57 regions which are apportioned delegates; the 50 states and DC are listed below. Of the additional 6, five are US territories; American Samoa, Guam, Northern Marianas, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Island. The sixth is called Democrats Abroad. These 6 regions will account for roughly 120 total delegates.

Each region's delegates are divided into two groups, pledged and unpledged. This distinction is simple, pledged delegates are bound to a particular candidate in proportion to that candidate's support. The exact method of apportionment is decided by the state parties; in a primary for example, it's generally the raw popular vote.

The unpledged delegates, commonly referred to as super delegates, are allocated to prominent elected or otherwise significant members of the Democratic Party. Much is often made of Hillary Clinton's significant super delegate lead, but the super delegation is very unlikely to overturn the outcome of the pledged delegates.

The pledged delegates are then divided into three further groups; district, at-large and Party Leaders & Elected Officials (PLEO).

The district level delegates are bound to the outcome of a congressional district. District delegates are initially selected at the precinct level, then depending on the state, there is another tier at the county and finally at the congressional level. The table below lists the number of districts in each region; they are the same districts used for the House of Representatives, except DC, which gets 2 for some reason. Each district has their own number of delegates; it is not uniform.

The at-large delegates are generally tied to the overall state level vote; in a primary the raw vote, and in a caucus the district delegates typically select the at-large delegates. The PLEO delegates are also selected in the same fashion as the at-large delegates, but the PLEO delegates are themselves elected officials in the state who self-nominate.

The multiple tiers of delegates makes counting which candidate won which number of delegates difficult. Results reported in the media are all estimates right now as no statewide delegates have actually been selected. The DNC has laid out a common set of rules, such as the 15% viability threshold, but each state can make their own additional rules so long as the DNC criteria is respected.

The table below lists each state by election type and date with a link to the delegate selection plan. The delegate selection plans change overtime and are often amended before official confirmation. As an example, the Iowa plan was amended in August of 2015 where their total delegate allocation dropped from 54 to the current 52. I suspect this has happened in other states and the results are not publicly available or the links haven't been updated.

StateDateTotalDistrictDistrictsAt-LargePleged PLEOUnpledged PLEO
Iowa [1]
Caucus
Feb 152294968
New Hampshire [2]
Primary
Feb 932162538
Nevada [3]
Caucus
Jan 2039204748
South Carolina [4]
Primary
Jan 27593571176
Alabama [5]
Primary
March 2583471176
Arkansas [6]
Primary
March 237214745
Colorado [7]
Caucus
March 2774271389
Georgia [8]
Primary
March 21136414211315
Massachusetts [9]
Primary
March 2116599201225
Minnesota [10]
Hybrid Caucus
March 293508171016
Oklahoma [11]
Primary
March 242255854
Tennessee [12]
Primary
March 2774491599
Texas [13]
Primary
March 223913631452731
Vermont [14]
Primary
March 223101328
Virginia [15]
Primary
March 21096211211214
Kansas [16]
Caucus
March 537224744
Louisiana [17]
Primary
March 5593361178
Nebraska [18]
Caucus
March 530173535
Maine [19]
Caucus
March 630172535
Michigan [20, 22]
Primary
March 81488514281718
Mississippi [21]
Primary
March 841234855
Florida [23]
Primary
March 1524514027462831
Illinois [24]
Primary
March 1518110218342025
Missouri [25]
Primary
March 158447815913
North Carolina [26]
Primary
March 151227013231415
Ohio [27]
Primary
March 151609316311917
Arizona [28]
Primary
March 228550916910
Utah [29]
Caucus
March 2228164534
Idaho [30]
Caucus
March 2227152534
Alaska [39]
Caucus
March 2620101424
Hawaii [31]
Caucus
March 2634162639
Washington [32]
Caucus
March 261196710221218
Wisconsin [33]
Primary
April 589528171010
Wyoming [34]
Caucus
April 91881424
New York [35]
Primary
April 1927114827493044
Connecticut [36]
Primary
April 266533511714
Delaware [37]
Primary
April 26271144210
Maryland [38]
Primary
April 26118648211023
Pennsylvania [51]
Primary
April 2621012718422021
Rhode Island [40]
Primary
April 2631142539
Indiana [41]
Primary
May 3925691899
West Virginia [42]
Primary
May 1033173637
Kentucky [43]
Primary
May 17533161066
Oregon [44]
Primary
May 176434511712
California [45]
Primary
June 7546317531055371
Montana [46]
Primary
June 727152426
New Jersey [47]
Primary
June 71428420281416
New Mexico [48]
Primary
June 738233749
North Dakota [49]
Caucus
June 71991325
South Dakota [50]
Primary
June 724111427
District of Columbia
Primary
June 14451325225
Total45282537838478675

Super Tuesday is tomorrow, which allocates 837 pledged delegates (plus American Somoa), which is about 22% of the total pledged delegates. I'll post the final polling projections for each state if time allows tomorrow, but Clinton is generally expected to win, Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia while Bernie is expected to win Colorado, Minnesota and Vermont. Oklahoma and Massachusetts are much closer without a clear front-runner.

And a final reminder to report your precinct results if you participate in the Colorado caucus tomorrow.

Update [March 20]: The Michigan delegates were updated to reflect the final apportionment; a draft version was used previously. The election type used in Utah was updated to correctly state that a caucus is used instead of a primary.

Updated on April 3, 2016 at 11:10:22 PM CT

Sources
1
iowademocrats.org Iowa Delegate Selection Plan

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 10:55:30 PM CT | Revision: 1

2

Retrieved on February 9, 2016 at 5:33:14 PM CT | Revision: 1

3

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 10:57:58 PM CT | Revision: 1

4

Retrieved on February 27, 2016 at 5:32:21 PM CT | Revision: 1

5

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 10:58:39 PM CT | Revision: 1

6

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 10:59:50 PM CT | Revision: 1

7

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:00:50 PM CT | Revision: 1

8
georgiademocrat.org Georgia Delegate Selection Plan

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:01:02 PM CT | Revision: 1

9

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:01:16 PM CT | Revision: 1

10

Retrieved on February 28, 2016 at 7:09:51 PM CT | Revision: 1

11

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:02:34 PM CT | Revision: 1

12

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:03:14 PM CT | Revision: 1

13

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:03:30 PM CT | Revision: 1

14

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:11:14 PM CT | Revision: 1

15

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:15:33 PM CT | Revision: 1

16

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:15:54 PM CT | Revision: 1

17
louisianadem.files.wordpress.com Louisiana Delegate Selection...

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:16:17 PM CT | Revision: 1

18
nebraskademocrats.org Nebraska Delegate Selection Plan

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:16:39 PM CT | Revision: 1

19

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:17:00 PM CT | Revision: 1

20

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:17:16 PM CT | Revision: 1

21
mississippidemocrats.org Mississippi Delegate Selection Plan

Retrieved on February 29, 2016 at 11:17:33 PM CT | Revision: 1

22

Retrieved on March 8, 2016 at 7:32:30 PM CT | Revision: 1

23
files.floridadems.org Florida Delegate Selection Plan

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 7:46:27 PM CT | Revision: 1

24

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 7:46:55 PM CT | Revision: 1

25
missouridemocrats.org Missouri Delegate Selection Plan

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 7:47:23 PM CT | Revision: 1

26

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 7:48:10 PM CT | Revision: 1

27

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 7:48:29 PM CT | Revision: 1

28

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 7:57:21 PM CT | Revision: 1

29

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 7:58:12 PM CT | Revision: 1

30

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:03:47 PM CT | Revision: 1

31
hidems.files.wordpress.com Hawaii Delegate Selection Plan

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:04:07 PM CT | Revision: 1

32

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:04:27 PM CT | Revision: 1

33

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:04:50 PM CT | Revision: 1

34

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:05:38 PM CT | Revision: 1

35

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:06:00 PM CT | Revision: 1

36

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:06:49 PM CT | Revision: 1

37

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:07:47 PM CT | Revision: 1

38

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:10:53 PM CT | Revision: 1

39
static1.squarespace.com Alaska Delegate Selection Plan

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:22:58 PM CT | Revision: 1

40

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:27:59 PM CT | Revision: 1

41

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:28:26 PM CT | Revision: 1

42

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:29:00 PM CT | Revision: 1

43

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:29:37 PM CT | Revision: 1

44

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:30:00 PM CT | Revision: 1

45

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:30:29 PM CT | Revision: 1

46

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:31:04 PM CT | Revision: 1

47

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:31:34 PM CT | Revision: 1

48

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:32:06 PM CT | Revision: 1

49

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:32:36 PM CT | Revision: 1

50

Retrieved on March 20, 2016 at 8:33:06 PM CT | Revision: 1

51

Retrieved on April 3, 2016 at 11:09:15 PM CT | Revision: 1

TAGS: dem2016

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