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At least 4 polls are required to perform a local regression. A polynomial fit has been performed instead.

The degree parameter has also been reduced due to an insufficient number of polls.

MI Hypothetical President: Gary Johnson (L), Bernie Sanders (D), Jill Stein (G), Donald Trump (R)

4 candidates | Election on November 8, 20164 polls

SampleSanders (D)Trump (R)
MI: SurveyUSA
Mar 23-24, 2016
416 of 904
Likely | 46.02%
55.77%
232
37.26%
155
MI: Marist Institute for Public Opinion, NBC News, Wall Street Journal
Mar 1-3, 2016
≤1705
Registered
51%37%

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