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At least 4 polls are required to perform a local regression. A polynomial fit has been performed instead.

MI Hypothetical President: Gary Johnson (L), Bernie Sanders (D), Jill Stein (G), Donald Trump (R)

4 candidates | Election on November 8, 20164 polls

Technique: Polynomial Fit | Degree: Linear
Embed:
SampleSanders (D)Trump (R)
MI: SurveyUSA
Mar 23-24, 2016		437 of 904
Likely | 48.34%		46.91%
205		45.54%
199
MI: Marist Institute for Public Opinion, NBC News, Wall Street Journal
Mar 1-3, 2016		≤1705
Registered		49%43%

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