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The degree parameter has also been reduced due to an insufficient number of polls.

CA Hypothetical President: Bernie Sanders (D), Donald Trump (R)

2 candidates | Election on November 8, 20165 polls

Technique: Local Regression | Degree: Linear | Alpha: 0.8 | Bandwidth: 10
Embed:
SampleSanders (D)Trump (R)
CA: YouGov, CBS News
5/31-6/3/2016		332 of 1187
Likely | 27.97%		13%74%
CA: Marist Institute for Public Opinion, NBC News, Wall Street Journal
May 29-31, 2016		421.59 of 1833
Registered | 23%		12%78%
CA: Field Research Corporation, Sacramento Bee, University of California
May 26-31, 2016		365 of 1002
Likely | 36.43%		20%
73		68.77%
251
CA: Abt SRBI, Public Policy Institute of California
May 13-22, 2016		280 of 996
Likely | 28.11%		15%73%
CA: SurveyUSA, KABC TV (ABC: Los Angeles), KFSN TV (ABC: Fresno), KGTV TV (ABC: San Diego), KPIX TV (CBS: San Francisco)
3/30-4/3/2016		305 of 1507
Likely | 20.24%		20.98%
64		65.57%
200

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