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The degree parameter has also been reduced due to an insufficient number of polls.

Indiana US Senate

Incumbent: Richard Lugar (R) | 3 candidates | Election on November 6, 201225 polls

Technique: Local Regression | Degree: Quadratic | Alpha: 0.8 | Bandwidth: 8
Embed:
SampleDonnelly (D)Mourdock (R)Horning (L)
IN: YouGov
10/31-11/3/2012		365 of 714
Likely | 51.12%		49%39%
IN: Bellwether Research & Consulting, Garin Hart Yang Research Group, DePauw University, Howey Politics Indiana
Oct 28-30, 2012		416 of 800
Likely | 52%		50%31.5%
IN: YouGov
Oct 4-11, 2012		247 of 465
Registered | 53.12%		45%35%
IN: YouGov
Sep 7-14, 2012		362 of 652
Likely | 55.52%		39%33%
IN: Market Research Insight, Indiana Chamber of Commerce
Aug 6-9, 2012		≤600
Likely		41%36%3%

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